Contents

1 BED NUMBERS - GOVERNMENT ENQUIRY FINDS INADEQUATE BEDS PROVISION

2 BEDS IN THE NHS

3 REPORT OF PARLIAMENTARY ADJOURNMENT DEBATE ON 14TH FEB 2000

4 DAVID SHORTT [CHAIRMAN OF CHEK] A LETTER TO MS GISELE STUART SECRETARY OF STATE FOR HEALTH
This is a letter to the Under Secretary of State for Health outlining Questions that she should have answered during the adjournment debate conducted by Julian Brazier the Canterbury MP 

5 Canterbury & Coastal NHS. Primary Care Group 9th February ~ 2000 
This change to Emergency GP Admissions Policy is an overt attempt to prevent choice and to direct patients to hospitals regardless of inconvenience and healthcare performance

 

 

GOVERNMENT ENQUIRY FINDS INADEQUATE BEDS PROVISION
Gavin Yamey,
BMJ 19th February 2000 pp463

The fall in the number of hospital beds in England over the past 40 years has left the NHS unable to cope with healthcare needs, and a "radically different approach" is needed to managing care, according to a consultation document from the Department of Health's national beds inquiry.

The number of beds per head of population for acute, general, and maternity care has fallen by over 2%a year since 1980,despite a rise in acute and general admissions per head of around 3.5%a year.

The average level of bed occupancy has increased to a current rate of 83%leaving little slack in the system to cope with peaks of demand. In recent winters, says the report, "the NHS struggled to accommodate the demand for care."

The greatest pressure on beds has come from a continuous increase in emergency admissions of patients aged over 65.ÊThis age group occupies two thirds of acute and general beds and accounts for half of the rapid rise in emergency admissions in the past five years.

The document suggests that that many of these admissions are avoidable: "For older people around 20%of bed days were probably inappropriate if alternative facilities were in place."

Although the number of hospital beds is also falling in other industrialised countries, the NHS has fewer beds than the average for countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). In Canada and the Netherlands, which have community or outpatient facilities to deal with emergencies in elderly people, hospital admission rates have fallen.

The document gives three possible scenarios to improve future service provision. The first option is to "maintain current direction," with a slight rise in bed capacity in the acute sector but no transfer of services from hospital to community settings. The second is an active policy to increase the number of hospital beds with a view to providing more responsive emergency and specialist care and avoiding premature discharge.

The final scenario is "care closer to home," in which community health and social services would be expanded substantially to prevent avoidable hospital admissions. The health secretary, Alan Milburn, recently signalled his preference for such an "intermediate care" approach (12th February, p 401).

The NHS Confederation, representing health authorities and trusts, welcomed the inquiry. Nigel Edwards, the confederation's policy director, said: "Providing a range of flexible options in the community offers one solution. But it is equally important to ensure that the hospital has the beds and intensive care resources to be able to respond in periods of high pressure." The King's Fund, a healthcare charity, has called on the government to follow its inquiry with an audit of the winter beds crisis. (See p 461.)

The consultation document and supporting analysis are available at www.doh.gov.uk/nationalbeds.htm.

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Bed numbers are falling, despite the rapid rise in emergency admissions, particularly in the elderly. Acute beds have been cut in other industrialised countries, though England has fewer than the OECD average.

BEDS IN THE NHS
Editorial BMJ 2000;320:461-462 (19 February )
News PP 463 463

The National Bed Inquiry exposes contradictions in government policy

January was a tough month for British health ministers, as a flu epidemic put the inadequacies of the NHS on the front page of most newspapers, but then it's been a tough two decades for patients and staff in the NHS. The political remedy for the chronic underfunding of the NHS has been perpetual revolution through reorganisation. Recent acute hospital and NHS service reconfigurations around Britain show how management and political reputations have been staked on exploiting the apparently bottomless pit of clinical productivity to fund investment. But judging by rising waiting lists, growing patient dissatisfaction, and low morale among staff, modernisation appears to be a recipe for reducing capacity and loss of service. A government inquiry has now provided the hard data to confirm this impression The National Bed Inquiry, commissioned in 1998 by the Secretary of State for Health to test the hypothesis that bed closures had gone too far, was finally published last week in the form of a consultation document and supporting analysis. 1 2 The consultation document, Shaping the future NHS: long term planning for hospital and related services, shows not only that is there is little scope for productivity gains but also that there is no spare capacity in the NHS. 1 The current system cannot keep pace with need. The report projects that up to 2003-4 an increase of 2000 (1.4%) general and acute beds and 2000 intermediate care beds will be required for the NHS along with 1000 extra general practitioners and unspecified numbers of nursing and home help staff.

The expansion in staff and bed numbers is modest. More importantly, however, the report leaves a policy paradox on which the bed inquiry is curiously silent about what Alan Milburn has described as the "the largest ever hospital building programme in the history of the NHS." Financed under the private finance initiative this programme is associated with reductions in acute bed provision of around 30% and cuts in operating budgets and staff numbers of up to 25%. In the 11first wave hospital schemes financed through the initiative over 2500 beds will be lost over the next five years. 3-6 For example, the scheme for the Worcester Royal Infirmary NHS Trust is based on "forecasts of future performance which show that the trust will have too many beds." It proposes a reduction in number of acute inpatient beds of 28% against an increase in finished consultant episodes from 1995-6 to 2000-1 of 13%. Nationwide there are 32 such major schemes in progress. But, as the beds report shows, not only have acute bed numbers remained static against rising caseloads over the past five years, but also increases in clinical productivity, measured by length of stay, throughput, and bed occupancy, have come to a virtual standstill. Of the planning assumptions which underpin the 32 new replacement hospitals to be built under the private finance initiative the report says: "on the evidence of recent trends and the other material we have collected, service configurations based on assumptions about major bed reductions are unlikely to be (safely) attainable unless expanded intermediate and community services are put in place."

The government has the immediate problem of reversing the reduction in bed numbers, staff, and operating budgets brought about by its current policy of financing new investment through private funding. In an attempt to do so it presents in the consultation document three scenarios for a 20year investment strategy for NHS acute beds (recognising that most of these serve older people), on which it is inviting comments. Each has echoes of current public consultations on hospital reconfigurations. The first option maintains the current direction but requires an increase of 8,000(6%) NHS general and acute beds and 30,000 overall. The second envisages an increase of 35,000 (26%) NHS beds, with 22,000 more "intermediate" nursing and residential care beds. The third option, which fits with current policies, again envisages a doubling of day cases but a total reduction in NHS general and acute beds of 12,000 (8.5%) to be offset by an expansion in intermediate care beds in the sector which currently provides mainly private nursing and residential care. The supporting analysis appears to indicate that areas with higher rates of institutional long term care provision and district nursing have lower rates of acute admissions and better discharge policies. But some separately commissioned papers included in the report show that the evidence is weak at best that hospital at home and other early discharge schemes reduce overall hospitalisation and the need for acute hospital beds. Similarly, the evidence that primary care services substitute for secondary care is insufficient.

Crude as they are, beds are an indication of patterns of provision, staffing levels, resources, and service capacity across the NHS. In the great wave of privatisation which took place under the Conservative administration of the 1980s NHS rehabilitation, convalescent, and long term care beds vanished and so too did the care staff, the services, and the resources. NHS continuing care provision is reduced to a handful of beds in many health authorities and subject to stringent eligibility criteria. For the 400,000 plus frail and vulnerable people living in mainly private institutions in England the 'Poor Law Test' applies: care is a private responsibility substantially outside the remit of the NHS. Older people, who will be among those most affected by policies which bring 'care closer to home,' will be concerned to ensure that the current unfairness in the system identified by the Royal Commission is not exacerbated by the failure to identify the source and amount of funding and the location of staff and services.

In the immediate term the report calls into question the entire basis of the Treasury's capital investment strategy for the NHS. The introduction of the internal market in 1991,together with the introduction of the capital charging regime, annual efficiency savings of 3%, and the private finance initiative are all policies designed to release funds for investment by eliminating surplus capacity and increasing clinical productivity.  The National Bed Inquiry is an important watershed. Will the government have the courage to embark on the policy U turn the evidence now requires? Or will the report simply become a blueprint for the expansion not of the NHS but of private health care?

AM Pollock , Professor. Health Policy and Health Services Research Unit, School of Public Policy, University College London, London WC1H 9EZÊ
M G Dunnigan , Senior Research Fellow. Department of Human Nutrition, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G312E Bibliography

1. Department of Health. Shaping the future NHS: long term planning for hospitals and related services. Consultation document on the findings of The National Beds Inquiry. London: Department of Health, 2000.
2. Department of Health. Shaping the Future NHS: long term planning for hospitals and related services. Consultation document on the findings of the National Beds Inquiry: supporting analysis. London: Department of Health, 2000.
3. Gaffney D, Pollock AM. Can the NHS afford the private finance initiative? London: BMA, 1997
4. Gaffney D, Pollock AM, Price D, Shaoul J. NHS capital expenditure and the private finance initiative expansion or contraction? BMJ 1999; 319: 48-51Ê [Full Text] .
5. Gaffney D, Pollock AM, Price D, Shaoul J. PFI in the NHS: is there an economic case? BMJ 1999; 319: 116-119 [Full Text] .
6. Pollock AM, Dunnigan MG, Gaffney D, Price D, Shaoul J. Planning the "new" NHS: downsizing for the 21st century. BMJ 1999; 319: 179-184 [Full Text] .
7. Worcester Royal Infirmary NHS Trust. Proposals for a new hospital in Worcester. Full business case as approved by NHS Executive and HM Treasury on 19ÊMarch 1999. Worcester: Worcester Royal Infirmary NHS Trust, 1999.
8. Royal Commission on Long Term Care. With respect to old age: long tern care rights and responsibilities. London: Stationery Office, 1999.
9. Gaffney D, Pollock AM, Price D, Shaoul J. The politics of the private finance initiative and the new NHS.

BMJ 1999; 319: 249-253 [Full Text] .

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REPORT OF THE PARLIAMENTARY ADJOURNMENT DEBATE
ON 14th FEB 2000
JULIAN BRAZIER'S QUESTIONS
Acute Health Services (East Kent)
HANSARD Motion made, and Question proposed,

That this House do now adjourn.--[Mr. Dowd.] 12.52 am

Mr. Julian Brazier (Canterbury): I am grateful for the opportunity to hold this debate. I am grateful to my right hon. and learned Friend the Member for Folkestone and Hythe (Mr. Howard), to the hon. Member for Sittingbourne and Sheppey (Mr. Wyatt) and to the Minister for being here to debate this matter well into the witching hour. It is difficult to exaggerate the scale of concern about the future of acute health services in East Kent, and particularly Kent and Canterbury hospital. I have received more than 3,000 individually written letters on the subject. It would be out of order for me to refer to the Gallery, but considerable interest is being shown--

Mr. Deputy Speaker (Mr. Michael Lord): Order. The hon. Gentleman is quite correct. It is out of order, and I would be grateful if he did not do it again, on this or any future occasion.

Mr. Brazier: Indeed, Mr. Deputy Speaker. Since this was last debated, the situation has worsened. The hospital is the most heavily used and cost-efficient of all the hospitals in Kent, and the only one in East Kent with a mixture of regional specialist services. I believe that the plans in the 'Moving Forward' document will put at risk health care in the whole of East Kent.

In December 1998, the then Secretary of State for Health concluded his considerations of East Kent health authority's so-called "better balance" proposals and sent a letter to Members of Parliament on 22 December, with a further letter following at the end of March to the chairmen of the trusts. The first letter said: "my decision is to endorse the Health Authority's proposals, subject to a number of conditions." By any standard, the conditions were major. The letter went on to say that "the proposals to the Kent and Canterbury A&E . . . are not satisfactory and must be improved." The letter said that EKHA must "guarantee that onsite consultant and anaesthetic surgical and medical cover will be provided at the Kent and Canterbury during the day and on-call cover in these specialities . . . out of hours." That was even reinforced by the condition that "there will be a designated consultant to develop and lead the Canterbury emergency centre . . . to ensure that a substantial proportion of consultant time is spent at Canterbury", including "consultant medical cover for the coronary care unit at the hospital" and "and a physician with an interest in coronary care." He also demanded a full review of the provisions for renal medicine. In his second letter, the Secretary of State gave a further critical guarantee. He said: In his second letter, the Secretary of State gave a further critical guarantee. He said: "it is clear that many of the respondents to consultation were under the misapprehension that the proposal was to move specialist cancer services, rather than simply the management of those services He continued:: "The retention of specialist cancer services at Kent & Canterbury Hospitals was part of that decision. Specialist cancer services at Canterbury, therefore, have a firm future." He also made a firm commitment to at least 232 beds in Canterbury, as against around 390 at the Kent and Canterbury and the Nunnery Fields hospitals together.

Mr. Michael Howard (Folkestone and Hythe): Has my hon. Friend seen the recent letter written to the chief executive of the East Kent hospitals NHS trust by Mr. Paul Watkins, chairman of the South East Kent community health council, in which Mr. Watkins asks that the implementation of the proposals in "Tomorrow's Health Care" be deferred until the Secretary of State has devised the national strategy that he has promised on the number of beds to be provided in the NHS? Does my hon. Friend think that that suggestion by Mr. Watkins has some merit?

Mr. Brazier: I do indeed. Both my right hon. and learned Friend and Mr. Watkins are right on that point. Last year, in reply to a question that I asked in the House, the previous Secretary of State said in relation to the Kent and Canterbury hospital: "If it looks as though things are going wrong, I am prepared to step in and ensure that the bed reduction does not proceed as quickly, or as far, as presently agreed".--[Official Report, 11 January 1999; Vol. 323, c. 45-6.] Even with the commitments that he made, the Secretary of State's decision caused dismay. It will mean the rundown of the full A and E department, which has been in the top third of the major trauma outcome survey for every year since the survey was launched in 1988, and transferring those services to distant units that are still to meet the full standard.

Furthermore, our area is suffering a winter that has seen the most severe pressure on East Kent hospitals. In recent weeks, two out of three acute hospitals in the area have, on several different occasions, been simultaneously closed to all but blue-light work, with bed use running at well over 100 per cent. of nominal capacity, including trolleys pushed into offices and corridors. Flu has been part of the cause, but East Kent has some of the largest and busiest road arteries in Europe. Because the mild winter has brought relatively little ice and snow, the road accident work load has been well below average, but still the hospital system has been stretched to near breaking point. A Government with a large majority can do as they wish. Despite all those considerations, when the Secretary of State made his decision, I decided that the best way that I could defend the services was to engage, rather than simply oppose. He did at least leave us with a single trust responsible for health care, and I have welcomed the meetings with Mr. Conrad Blakey and Mr. David Astley, the new chairman and chief executive.

It was, therefore, with incredulity that I read the "Moving Forward" document, the opening sentence of which reads: "On 22 December 1998 the Secretary of State endorsed the Health Authority's proposal". That statement was repeated five times in the text without any mention of his lengthy conditions. On those conditions, I shall leave description of the fiasco over renal services to the hon. Member for Sittingbourne and Sheppey. As for the rest of the items that I have already listed, the Secretary of State's findings on coronary care merit a brief mention on one page, but appear to play no part in the actual plan. Every other pledge has disappeared. The commitment to retain a full cancer centre has been ignored. The commitment to 232 beds has been ignored and no specific bed numbers are mentioned for that site. Consultant cover for emergency work at the Kent and Canterbury hospital has been ignored again. This imaginative document, "Moving Forward", involves a degree of creative accounting that I can only describe as remarkable. East Kent health authority has carefully kept the capital investment figure just inside the £50 million mark, so that it does not go back to Ministers. Is the Minister content that a health authority can brush aside pledges by the Secretary of State? Is she content to see £50 million of taxpayers' money, along with substantial further sums hidden in revenue flows, go forward without referring the matter back to the Secretary of State to see that the pledges have been maintained?

It is very sad to see EKHA restating the same half truths from the old debate. For example, the document states: "an economic and social impact study confirmed that the greatest concentration of both the elderly and the socio-economically deprived in East Kent are located in Thanet". As independent studies show, there are far more elderly people and a slightly greater number of deprived people in the catchment area for the Kent and Canterbury hospital. I raised that point with Mr. Mark Outhwaite, the chief executive, at a public meeting. He pointed out that the people in Thanet live closer together. He is quite right--technically, the largest concentration of elderly and deprived people is in Thanet. Do the people in rural areas, and in small towns such as Whitstable and Faversham, matter less because they live further apart, even though there are more of them? The population figures are flawed throughout the document.

Where EKHA got the fatuous growth figure that was fed into the York study team, I cannot imagine. Has it never heard of Serplan, with its projections for huge population growth? Page 11 of the document says that an implementation plan has been agreed. Yet on page 22, in excusing itself for giving no detail on plans for the Canterbury site, the same document says: "the detailed site plan will be drafted when a robust medical services model has been developed." What sort of medical organisation embarks on £50 million worth of capital spending without a robust medical plan? EKHA's overstretched financial plans--and they are overstretched, because of the sheer scale of the capital spending, which is disguised in revenue--include £600,000 for investment in transport services. There is no mention of continuing spending.

Most of East Kent's scattered rural communities, and some small towns, have no public transport access to the other two hospitals. Even if that allocation survives, does anyone really believe that an all-embracing taxi service can be delivered by East Kent's undermanned and overstretched ambulance service? One sinister sentence explains how the financial circle is to be squared. It says: "the largest single savings will come from bed reductions and improved efficiency"." Presumably, no one from EKHA saw the trolleys in the corridors and the offices this winter. Yet the whole document is swung on 15 per cent. fewer beds. Vast capital expenditure and a shift from Kent's lowest cost hospital to less efficient sites is to be financed by removing beds. Is that what the Government want for the future of health care in East Kent? Will the Secretary of State require EKHA to resubmit its plans to see that at least those minimum pledges are met, and to take account of the new national findings on bed numbers? I should like to end by asking the Minister a few specific questions. Will Canterbury retain the full range of services of a joint cancer centre, as defined under the Calman-Hine guidelines? Will a new linear accelerator be purchased, as promised, or just a second-hand one, which can be readily abandoned?

Do the pledges on emergency cover and coronary care at Canterbury stand? Does the pledge of at least 232 beds stand, and does the hon. Lady think that that is adequate for our burgeoning population? People all over east Kent, relying on our overstretched service, are waiting for answers--the old, the vulnerable, children, accident victims, doctors, nurses and health care workers.

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I urge the Secretary of State to call in the plans to see whether the earlier pledges are being maintained and whether they go far enough for the future of acute health care in East Kent. The letter from the former Secretary of State said that EKHA must guarantee that onsite consultant and anaesthetic surgical and medical cover will be provided at the Kent and Canterbury during the day and on-call cover in these specialities . . . out of hours." That was even reinforced by the condition that there will be a designated consultant to develop and lead the Canterbury emergency centre . . . to ensure that a substantial proportion of consultant time is spent at Canterbury", including consultant medical cover for the coronary care unit at the hospital  and a physician with an interest in coronary care." He also demanded a full review of the provisions for renal medicine. In his second letter, the Secretary of State gave a further critical guarantee. He said: "it is clear that many of the respondents to consultation were under the misapprehension that the proposal was to move specialist cancer services, rather than simply the management of those services". He continued, "The retention of specialist cancer services at Kent & Canterbury Hospitals was part of that decision. Specialist cancer services at Canterbury, therefore, have a firm future."  He also made a firm commitment to at least 232 beds in Canterbury, as against around 390 at the Kent and Canterbury and the Nunnery Fields hospitals together.

Mr. Michael Howard (Folkestone and Hythe): Has my hon. Friend seen the recent letter written to the chief executive of the East Kent hospitals NHS trust by Mr. Paul Watkins, chairman of the South East Kent community health council, in which Mr. Watkins asks that the implementation of the proposals in "Tomorrow's Health Care" be deferred until the Secretary of State has devised the national strategy that he has promised on the number of beds to be provided in the NHS? Does my hon. Friend think that that suggestion by Mr. Watkins has some merit? Mr. Brazier: I do indeed. Both my right hon. and learned Friend and Mr. Watkins are right on that point. Last year, in reply to a question that I asked in the House, the previous Secretary of State said in relation to the Kent and Canterbury hospital: "If it looks as though things are going wrong, I am prepared to step in and ensure that the bed reduction does not proceed as quickly, or as far, as presently agreed".--[Official Report, 11 January 1999; Vol. 323, c. 45-6.] Even with the commitments that he made, the Secretary of State's decision caused dismay. It will mean the rundown of the full A and E department, which has been in the top third of the major trauma outcome survey for every year since the survey was launched in 1988, and transferring those services to distant units that still need to meet the full standard.

Furthermore, our area is suffering a winter that has seen the most severe pressure on East Kent hospitals. In recent weeks, two out of three acute hospitals in the area have, on several different occasions, been simultaneously closed to all but blue-light work, with bed use running at well over 100 per cent. of nominal capacity, including trolleys pushed into offices and corridors. Flu has been part of the cause, but East Kent has some of the largest and busiest road arteries in Europe. Because the mild winter has brought relatively little ice and snow, the road accident work load has been well below average, but still the hospital system has been stretched to near breaking point. A Government with a large majority can do as they wish. Despite all those considerations, when the Secretary of State made his decision, I decided that the best way that I could defend the services was to engage, rather than simply oppose. He did at least leave us with a single trust responsible for health care, and I have welcomed the meetings with Mr. Conrad Blakey and Mr. David Astley, the new chairman and chief executive. It was, therefore, with incredulity that I read the "Moving Forward" document, the opening sentence of which reads: "On 22 December 1998 the Secretary of State endorsed the Health Authority's proposal".  That statement was repeated five times in the text without any mention of his lengthy conditions. On those conditions, I shall leave description of the fiasco over renal services to the hon. Member for Sittingbourne and Sheppey. As for the rest of the items that I have already listed, the Secretary of State's findings on coronary care merit a brief mention on one page, but appear to play no part in the actual plan. Every other pledge has disappeared. The commitment to retain a full cancer centre has been ignored.

The commitment to 232 beds has been ignored and no specific bed numbers are mentioned for that site. Consultant cover for emergency work at the Kent and Canterbury hospital has been ignored again. This imaginative document, "Moving Forward", involves a degree of creative accounting that I can only describe as remarkable. East Kent health authority has carefully kept the capital investment figure just inside the £50 million mark, so that it does not go back to Ministers. Is the Minister content that a health authority can brush aside pledges by the Secretary of State? Is she content to see £50 million of taxpayers' money, along with substantial further sums hidden in revenue flows, go forward without referring the matter back to the Secretary of State to see that the pledges have been maintained? It is very sad to see EKHA restating the same half truths from the old debate. For example, the document states: "an economic and social impact study confirmed that the greatest concentration of both the elderly and the socio-economically deprived in East Kent are located in Thanet". As independent studies show, there are far more elderly people and a slightly greater number of deprived people in the catchment area for the Kent and Canterbury hospital. I raised that point with Mr. Mark Outhwaite, the chief executive, at a public meeting. He pointed out that the people in Thanet live closer together. He is quite right--technically, the largest concentration of elderly and deprived people is in Thanet. Do the people in rural areas, and in small towns such as Whitstable and Faversham, matter less because they live further apart, even though there are more of them? The population figures are flawed throughout the document.

Where EKHA got the fatuous growth figure that was fed into the York study team, I cannot imagine. Has it never heard of Serplan, with its projections for huge population growth? Page 11 of the document says that an implementation plan has been agreed. Yet on page 22, in excusing itself for giving no detail on plans for the Canterbury site, the same document says: "the detailed site plan will be drafted when a robust medical services model has been developed." What sort of medical organisation embarks on £50 million worth of capital spending without a robust medical plan? EKHA's overstretched financial plans--and they are overstretched, because of the sheer scale of the capital spending, which is disguised in revenue--include £600,000 for investment in transport services. There is no mention of continuing spending.  Most of East Kent's scattered rural communities, and some small towns, have no public transport access to the other two hospitals. Even if that allocation survives, does anyone really believe that an all-embracing taxi service can be delivered by East Kent's undermanned and overstretched ambulance service? One sinister sentence explains how the financial circle is to be squared. It says: "the largest single savings will come from bed reductions" and from "improved efficiency". Presumably, no one from EKHA saw the trolleys in the corridors and the offices this winter. Yet the whole document is swung on 15 per cent. fewer beds. Vast capital expenditure and a shift from Kent's lowest cost hospital to less efficient sites is to be financed by removing beds. Is that what the Government want for the future of health care in East Kent? Will the Secretary of State require EKHA to resubmit its plans to see that at least those minimum pledges are met, and to take account of the new national findings on bed numbers? I should like to end by asking the Minister a few specific questions. A] Will Canterbury retain the full range of services of a joint cancer centre, as defined under the Calman-Hine guidelines? B]  Will a new linear accelerator be purchased, as promised, or just a second-hand one, which can be readily abandoned? C]  Do the pledges on emergency cover and coronary care at Canterbury stand? D ] Does the pledge of at least 332 beds stand? E] Does the hon. Lady think that that is adequate for our burgeoning population? People all over east Kent, relying on our overstretched service, are waiting for answers--the old, the vulnerable, children, accident victims, doctors, nurses and health care workers. I urge the Secretary of State to call in the plans to see whether the earlier pledges are being maintained and whether they go far enough for the future of acute health care in East Kent.

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Mr. Derek Wyatt (Sittingbourne and Sheppey): I congratulate the hon. Member for Canterbury (Mr. Brazier) on securing the debate. My constituency lies to the east of the West Kent health authority area and to the west of the East Kent health authority area. If there were a north Kent authority, we should lie to the north of that, too. In short, we sit right in the middle on this matter. If one lives in Warden Bay or Leysdown, it takes at least an hour and a half to get to the hospitals at Medway or Canterbury. It also requires the use of three or four public transport services--up to two buses and two trains. It simply is not possible to get to hospital at some times. In addition, the Isle of Sheppey is not always connected to the mainland. We have specific problems, including having more socially excluded people than anywhere in the south-east of England outside Folkestone. The issues raised by the hon. Gentleman represent serious problems for my constituents, who prefer Canterbury because they do not yet trust the new arrangements at Medway Maritime hospital. I wish specifically to address problems with renal services in East Kent. There has been a serious change. Margate hospital has been designated for services from spring 2003, but it is unacceptable to my constituents. It is on the far eastern side of Kent, which will cause access difficulties for all patients from my constituency and for staff, particularly those from west Kent. As my hon. Friend the Minister knows, renal care requires lifelong associations between patients and doctors and nurses, who provide great care that involves frequent visits to clinics. On average, a patient may have to be admitted for in-patient treatment once or twice a year, and there is an average stay of nine days. It would not be possible for relatives to visit patients in Margate. They could not afford it. It is essential in a modern health care service to consider not only patients but their families, whose love and care contribute physically to the well-being of patients. It is a serious matter if families cannot get to hospital to see their loved ones.  The proposed relocation would increase travel times and travel costs beyond the reach of most of the people on the Isle of Sheppey. Does my hon. Friend really believe that the nursing staff will transfer to Margate? If not, where will nursing staff come from? We all know that there is a shortage of trained nurses for this specialty. The relocation of the unit to Margate is opposed by patients, by the head of the renal medicine department at the Kent and Canterbury hospital and by the community health councils for Medway and Swale and for Canterbury and Thanet. Those are reasonable people who have thought the matter through. I ask the Minister to think again about the renal unit and to keep it in Canterbury.

The Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Health (Ms Gisela Stuart): I congratulate the hon. Member for Canterbury (Mr. Brazier) on securing a debate on a matter of great concern to his constituents. He has keenly supported his local hospitals for many years, particularly Kent and Canterbury and Nunnery Fields. His interest bears testament to his commitment to the needs of local people, who are keen to see a high-quality health service for themselves and their families. I assure the hon. Gentleman that we share their vision. The debate on hospital services in the East Kent health authority area has gone on for some time. I should like to spend a few moments outlining the reasons for the change in acute services, but I will address the hon. Gentleman's specific points later. First, however, I convey my thanks and those of the House to all the people in the national health service who worked over winter to cope with extraordinary pressures arising from the combination of an extended Christmas holiday, the millennium and the flu. 1]I shall outline the context of the changes to acute services in East Kent. They are not primarily driven by money, as has been suggested. I should record the fact that the health authority is receiving an additional cash increase of more than £23 million, which represents real growth of 3.7 per cent. No matter what the funding stream, changes would still be necessary to services in Kent. 2]In East Kent, the major issues are not only money, but the supply and training of doctors and the changes in medical technology. NHS services cannot stand still--locally or nationally. Changes in the NHS are complex and, as we all know, contentious. People want to fight for their local services. That is only right. However, in East Kent, the process of modernisation has been a long one. As the hon. Gentleman pointed out, it started back in 1997, after detailed examination and the most exhaustive local consultation ever carried out for the NHS. As he said, the matter was referred to Ministers. The then Secretary of State for Health, my right hon. Friend the Member for Holborn and St. Pancras (Mr. Dobson), gave careful consideration to the issues that had been raised and to the representations that had been received. He made his decision at the end of 1998. I fully accept that his decision was not universally popular, especially in the constituency of the hon. Member for Canterbury. However, I assure the hon. Gentleman that such decisions are never taken lightly. Ministers need to combine the needs of the local population for access to local services with the requirement to provide top-quality treatment in a safe environment, in facilities that are fit for the 21st century. The decision taken will ensure that high-quality care will be provided on three sites--the Kent and Canterbury, the William Harvey and the Queen Elizabeth the Queen Mother hospitals. It will provide the opportunity to develop the scope and capacity of local primary care services. We must not forget what happens in primary care. The decision lays the foundation for acute and specialist care that will be of long-term and sustainable benefit to local people. I make it clear again--although it has been made clear on previous occasions--that the decision announced by my right hon. Friend is not negotiable. I reiterate that: we shall not revisit the overall decision. However, it is important to point out that we shall ensure that the framework for that decision is properly implemented on the ground; that the plans are robust; and that the needs of the local population are met. I have, therefore, asked officials from the south-east regional office of the NHS Executive to monitor the progress of implementation to ensure that it takes place in a proper, sensitive and well managed way.

The three trusts are merging to become the East Kent Hospitals NHS trust. That is right, because the new trust structure supports the implementation of the changes to hospital services. A single trust is much better placed to achieve that goal. The new trust combines the benefits of strategic oversight of hospital services in East Kent with a commitment to be responsive to local communities and their primary care groups. 

The new trust has moved swiftly with its NHS partners to draw up an implementation plan for the service changes. The hon. Member for Canterbury referred to the document "Moving Forward". That document sets out the strategic development plan for acute services in the area. It builds on the work of clinical specialty groups. It sets out proposals to build new services and estates configurations. However, it is important to be clear as to the purpose of the document. Although it addresses a variety of audiences, it has a specific purpose. It is not a consultation document, nor, as the hon. Gentleman implied, is it intended to set out in detail the clinical models for each specialty. Its key purpose is to obtain approval to move through the private finance initiative process to the outline business case stage. It has been referred to the regional office of the NHS Executive--not for the executive to provide the funding, but to ensure that due process is followed. The implementation plan has been agreed locally between the trust, health authority, community health council, primary care groups and the regional office The hon. Gentleman referred to capital spending of £50 million of taxpayers' money. That is not what the plan is about. It is intended that the sources of capital will come from the private sector. If the PFI developments are approved, the plan will be developed over five years. Only when the future models of care have been agreed will there be any redevelopment of the Kent and Canterbury site.

Even when the changes are fully implemented, about 85 per cent. of patients who would currently expect to attend the Kent and Canterbury hospital will continue to be treated there. Mr. Howard: Will the Minister deal with the issue of bed numbers and the specific suggestion that has been made by the chairman of the community health council? Does she see some merit in that suggestion? Ms Stuart: I shall come to the issue of bed numbers in about a paragraph from now. The health authority has stated that, in accordance with the then Secretary of State's decision, it is committed to ensuring that robust services at alternative sites are in place before any service is transferred from its current location. 

To assist it in this process--because, as the change occurs, there will be some duplication of services--the authority has applied for special assistance funding to help it during this period. A decision on that is expected shortly. I now turn to the specific issues raised by the hon. Member for Canterbury and the right hon. and learned Member for Folkestone and Hythe (Mr. Howard). First, I shall discuss bed numbers. The number of acute beds will increase from the 1,395 that were originally proposed to 1,417. We do of course recognise the public concern about the eventual number of beds in the area and the pressure that they have been under this winter, and we expect the health authority to continue to monitor and review bed numbers closely. The right hon. and learned Member for Folkestone and Hythe made reference to the national bed survey, which I assume is what was covered in that letter. Some of those findings will be incorporated, but the overall decision by the Secretary of State stands. Mr. Brazier: How does the Minister reconcile what she has just said--about nothing happening immediately and about working in line with that detailed programme--with EKHA's announcement, out of the blue, that Nunnery Fields hospital, with almost a quarter of Canterbury's beds, is to close this summer? Ms Stuart: I was going to discuss the Nunnery Fields hospital situation, especially in relation to the care of the elderly. The hospital provides a rehabilitation service for the elderly. It is an old workhouse. It is no longer suitable for the type of care and rehabilitation that we expect to give to elderly people and which they deserve. We expect that, once the reconfiguration has taken place, the hospital care will take place within the Kent and Canterbury.

As I have said, we should focus not only on hospitals but on what is happening in primary care and the support services that allow people--especially elderly people--who do not need to stay in hospital to receive care and support at home or at primary care level. We have spent some £2.5 million to develop primary care and community-based services for the elderly, and there will be an additional £5 million further investment in acute services. More than £500,000 will be directed into the development of transport facilities. I know that the hon. Member for Canterbury feels that that may be insufficient, but I think that we should not sneer at what is a significant amount of money. I shall now address the issue of the care of the elderly in East Kent, because allegations have often been made that they have been neglected or even marginalised. Nothing could be further from the truth. The health authority is looking after the elderly in East Kent in a very responsive way. For example, community assessment and rehabilitation teams--a joint initiative, which is so far being implemented in only one part of the area, although the plan is that there will be four such units--are helping to develop models of care to ensure that elderly patients avoid hospital admissions wherever appropriate, and that patients can be discharged much sooner than they are now. Modernisation does not only

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The following is a letter to the Under Secretary of State for Health that she should have answered during the adjournment debate conducted by Julian Brazier the Canterbury MP 

16th Feb 2000

Ms Gisela Stuart MP
Under-Secretary of State for Health
House of Commons
Westminster
LONDON SW1A 0AA

Dear Ms Stuart,

As one of the night owls who listened intently to your reply to Julian Brazier's adjournment debate on Monday 14th Feb, I have to take issue with various points that you made. The principal reason for Julian requesting a debate at this time is because we are beginning to see the 'first fruits' of EKHA's implementation of "Tomorrow's Healthcare" (THC) and there are several very major causes for concern. You made it very clear (as Frank Dobson did on many occasions) that the decision is "non-negotiable". One has to assume that this means non-negotiable downwards as well as upwards. But this is precisely what is happening.

A. Beds numbers. You stated that there will be 1417 acute beds (the figure is actually 1414). This is not the case. The published figures are actually 1218 acute/96 day/100 non-acute = 1414. This figure is actually total bed numbers across QEQMH, KCH, WHH and BHD. This represents a reduction of almost 10% in bed numbers against THC (1562). EKHA and EKNHSAT make no acknowledgement of the fact that all three East Kent Hospitals have been running at 90-95% bed occupancy for many months; all three A&E departments are stretched to breaking point (in the national "casualty watch" conducted two weeks ago, the waiting time at WHH was 12 hours); In patient waiting lists in all three hospitals are ±20% over target. Although SERPLAN is not approved it is inevitable that the population of East Kent (and particularly Ashford which is estimated to triple in size within 15 years) is going to rise by massively more than the 1% per year predicted by EKHA and by the York Report. Thus all estimates of demand on the Health Service are grossly underestimated.

B. Buckland Hospital, Dover. The first element of the implementation plan related to BHD.' Tomorrow's Healthcare' simply referred to the transfer of Obstetrics and Gynaecology and a reduction of 25 beds, but the cuts have been far deeper. The closure of the Dunkirk Ward, a reduction in Midwives by 11%, the non-replacement of two doctors. EKHA have invested £30k in a new birthing centre, but only "low risk births" (just 1 in 3) can take place there. The business plan makes clear that there is to be no expansion of facilities at WHH (already over capacity) and relies on the implementation of targets to discharge 60% of women who had given birth in 6 hours and 80% in 24 hrs - current average is 2.3 days.

C. Nunnery Fields Hospital Even though planned for quarters 2, 3 and 4 of 2001, EKHA told senior staff on 7th Feb that NFH was to close "in the summer". The NFH patients were intended to fill space vacated by the departure of acute services from KCH - but this not even due to start happening (except for Obstetrics and Gynaecology) until Qtr 2 2001. This would either necessitate temporary accommodation (far from ideal for geriatric stroke patients) or the premature closure of up to 5 wards in KCH.

D Renal. In THC [TOMORROW'S HEALTH CARE] , EKHA stated that there were only two possible choices for the siting of the main Renal centre or 'hub' (which is shared with West Kent) - Ashford or Maidstone. However, they have now decided, against evidence and recommendations from the committee set up to examine it, to site the centre at QEQMH. The QEQMH Renal 'hub' would require 40% of its patients to come from West Kent to remain viable. There is now a very real possibility that West Kent patients will go to London, and that Renal Services may disappear in Kent altogether. (How would Paul Wyatt MP feel about that?) There are to be 4 'satellites' at KCH, WHH, Maidstone and Medway. However EKHA will not commit to whether they are simple units (administering only the most basic services) or intermediate units (able to handle more complex problems). This of course influences the number of journeys to and from the main 'hub'. Professionals are very concerned that decision on Renal has been made before the inter-relationship of Renal, Vascular and Haematology has been established. (Mr Dobson asked for report on Haematology which hasn't appeared yet). We also understand that the KCH Vascular Unit has categorically refused (for logistical not emotional reasons) to move into temporary accommodation at QEQMH as planned in Moving Forward.

E. Cancer. Frank Dobson insisted that the Cancer Centre remain at KCH, and even approved funding for a new Linear Accelerator. However, a Cancer Centre can not function without an adjacent ICU, acute medical and surgical beds and renal services. It is thus inevitable that without these services on hand, the Centre would be down-graded to a Unit and be unable to administer complex chemotherapy, high grade radiotherapy or nuclear medicine. Staff have been told privately that even though the bunker has been built (cost £1.4m) the LinAc will now go to Maidstone and KCH will get their 2nd hand one which is much lower grade. Dept calculates this switch will cost around £4m. KCH has the reputation of being one of the best Centres in the country and is the only one in the south of England which can do reconstructive breast surgery at the same time as invasive surgery. A&E. Although EKHA have not been specific about their plans for the minor injuries unit, it is clear from discussions which have already taken place, that they will fall short of what Mr Dobson asked for. Dr Sue Brooks (one of the most respected A & E consultants in the country) has resigned in protest at the plans.

F HImP. [HEALTH IMPROVEMENT PLAN] By the end of March, EKHA, the Trust, CHC's, PCG's and City Council will have to sign up to Government's Health Improvement Programme - the main target of which is to "reduce premature deaths by 20%". With the removal of A&E, ITU, down-grading of Coronary, Cancer and acute maternity, it is the most serious cases with the most life threatening of conditions who will have to travel furthest and wait longest for Hospital treatment. It is inevitable that there will be more premature deaths not less. THC is 100% incompatible with HImP.

G . Care. At last EKHA board meeting a majority of the board (inc Mark Outhwaite) admitted in response to CHEK's question that in East Kent the word "care" had gone out of "healthcare".

H. Finance. "Moving Forward" shows that estimated costs have risen from £52.5m (THC) to £69.3m (+32%). This does not take account of the fact that the HA is £5m in deficit for 1999 (M Outhwaite at CHC meeting on 10 Feb) Considering they had a £2.244m surplus in 1998, this means THC has cost £7.25m already! There is no apparent comment about estimated savings (originally £5.4m pa) - it's highly questionable whether there will be any! For a HA which has run at break even for the last three years to spend c£80m and cause massive disruption to make negligible savings makes no financial sense at all.

It is sad irony that having fought so strenuously against any downgrading of KCH, we are now having to watch EKHA and EKNHSAT take a dangerously cavalier attitude to the implementation of Frank Dobson's decision, and to fight to retain even that. All the points outlined above are happening and we have evidence for them. We suspect that it is at last dawning on EKHA that the plans which they drew up are not capable of implementation as they or Mr Dobson envisaged.

I beg you to call a moratorium on THC now to re-assess the plan in light of what has happened in the year since the decision. I must stress that we are not against modernisation and fully acknowledge the problems facing the NHS in the future, but feel, as does virtually every professional in the area that some relatively minor changes would have made huge differences and that there is no way that this full 'root and branch' re-configuration can or could ever provide a service to the people of East Kent which is better or even comparable to what we have now.

Yours Sincerely

David Shortt (Chairman of CHEK) 

cc. Julian Brazier MP 

Michael Howard MP 

Derek Wyatt MP

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Canterbury & Coastal NHS. Primary Care Group 9th February ~ 2000

Change to Emergency GP Admissions Policy

The way that demand for emergency beds at Kent & Canterbury is managed has changed. From December 20th 1999, if there is an anticipated shortage of beds any diversions of GP admissions should operate in two phases. After the William Harvey and the QEQM have confirmed that they have capacity to accept patients who would otherwise be treated at KCH the East Kent Hospitals Trust set out the sequence as follows: -

Phase 1: "Admissions are diverted to the next nearest hospital from specified outer GP practices covering approximately 50% of the volume of anticipated daily admissions. This. will allow local OP practice urgent referrals to continue to be admitted via their local hospital". The decision to commence Phase I diversion is taken whilst there are still sufficient vacant beds anticipated to accommodate a reduced number of admissions. during Phase I , only urgent referrals from the GP practices identified in the table will be accepted. All others must be referred to their next nearest admitting hospital.

Phase 2: "All GP admissions will be diverted". All notifications by telephone and fax have to be undertaken whichever phase is being implemented and these remain un-changed.

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During Phase I Diversions. These are the Practices from which patients will continue to be accepted at K&CH

Dr Burrowes & Partners.- Dr Townsend & Partners
- Dr Lorimer.- Dr Simmonds.- Dr Molony & Partners
Dr Pratt.Drs Cason & Zintilis. - Drs Anyaratnam & Allen
Drs Panayides & Wharfe.- Dr Kinnerslcy
Dr Turner & Partners. - Drs Sliar & Johnson
Ds Taylor & Partners. Ð Dr Dawson-Bowling & Partner.
Drs Knowles & Partners

If you have comments about how these changes to the system are working, please write to the PCO so that they can be taken up with the Trust.

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COMMENT  These are the first overt changes to direct patients to a hospital, not of their choosing, and the result is:
1] The patients have no alternative.
2] The GP has no choice of hospital or consultant.
3] Ultimately the Consultants will go where they are told.

In other words this is the end of the market system in order to support two centre system, regardless of costs, clinical audit and outcome analysis. Results will mean nothing, and this is all to get rid of Canterbury's clinical teams for some political reason of which we are unaware

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Financial Update 

At the end of November, the PCG was reporting a projected year end overspend of £544,000.Ê Since the time the report was produced, the pre-scribing position has deteriorated increasing the projected overspend to somewhere nearer £670,000.Ê On the upside, however, the Government has recognized the generic drug generated problems and has made £90 million available to help tackle the issue. This will result in Canterbury & Coastal PCG receiving the sum of £309,200 to offset against the projected overspend. Laraine Clark & Denise Rabbette, the PCG Pharmacists, and their team of support pharmacists and technicians, are working very hard at both quality and cost issues, although the benefits of their work will not feed through into the figures for a few months.  'Comment' The above £90 million together with the £73 million that the East Kent Hospitals Trust are going to spend on their ill-advised proposal would have built a brand new Specialist Hospital. This really would improve "Tomorrow's Healthcare" for the people of East Kent.

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